Author: ccloh Strategic Investor Zone

Elliott Wave Calculator (2)

Continued from Elliott Wave Calculator — FinTech ? The 3rd function of the Elliott Wave Calculator — Degree Calculator, after making some modifications, has appeared to be the most powerful Elliott Wave calculation tools compared to the Fibonacci Calculator and Correction Calculator.  The modification was done to the 2nd feature of the Degree Calculator, the All Degree calculation.  In the earlier version, the All Degree calculation feature of the Degree Calculator could only display the sub wave 1 of the next higher degree.  As such, to view the 5-wave structure of sub wave 3 and 5, the other feature...

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STI Analysis — Recap 2018 & Looking Ahead 2019

Continued from STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (38) The ‘STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ?’ went until 38 series since start in January 2018, STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ?.  Its about time to do a recap of what were being blogged so far and what to expect in 2019. Rcap The 1st series started off by looking at past history in search of a pattern to determine when the next peak and trough going to happen.  In the 2nd edition and to reproduce here a pattern was found...

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Elliott Wave Calculator — FinTech ?

Based on my knowledge on Elliott Wave, I’ve developed from scratch an Elliott Wave Calculator software to help analyze stock market movement.  Though this app is still developing, the very basic function is there and usable.  Question is how accurate can this be ? Case Study 1ComfortDelGro from Dec 2017 when it hit the low of $1.806 to the high of $2.49 in Oct 2018 and to the low again of $2.07 in Nov – Dec 2018.  During these periods, the price movement completed wave 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, A, B, C — one cycle of Elliott Wave...

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Portfolio — Jan 2019

Investment Portfolio 1. Received First Reit dividend of 2.15 cents/unit2. Entitled FrasersCom Trust scrip or dividend of 2.40 cents/unit3. Received Kep Reit dividend of 1.36 cents/unit4. Entitled Mapletreelog Trust scrip or cash dividend of 2.002 cents/unit5. Received Frasers Cptr Trust dividend of 3.02 cents/unit6. Received Kep DC Reit dividend of 3.70 cents/unit7. Entitled MapletreeInd Trust scrip or cash dividend of 3.07 cents/unit8. Received CapitaMall Trust dividend of 1.56 cents/unit9. Received MapletreeCom Trust dividend of 2.33 cents/unitStock Holding Price* Market Price Unrealized Profit/Loss Dividend Return Non-Strategic CapitaMall Trust $1.155 $2.40 +105.30% +87.00% First REIT $0.5973 $1.09 +82.06% +118.42% Genting SP...

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Recap 2018 & Looking Ahead 2019

STI ended the year 2018 at 3068.76, a loss of 334.16 points or 9.82%.  STI was not the only bourses that ended red for the year and in fact majority of the bourses ended in the red with China Shanghai Composite, SSE performed the worst with more than 20% drop. Recap 2018 started brightly for global market as the rally continued from late 2017.  However, it soon took a brake near end January when US announced tariff increased on China imported goods.  This effectively started the US-China trade war (tariff war) when China refused to give in and doing...

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STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (38)

Continued from STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (37) Most would say the correction that peg STI for almost whole of 2018 has ended at 2955.68 now.  Well, technically, STI still waiting to breakout from 3338 level to confirm that but from Elliott wave analysis perspective, early signals could be pick from here and there to affirm that before the confirmation. The only way to qualify that is to analyze the wave count from both the top-down and bottom-up approach and if both converge, there is no reason not to qualify the case.  Have done this...

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STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (37)

Continued from STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (36) Till now, STI still yet to reach a confirmation of either it is in a scenario of post-correction or still in correction.  The following analysis shall be on the scenario of post-correction only and awaiting for confirmation signals to rule out the still in correction scenario. The above chart is the possible trajectory for the post-correction scenario.  STI ended the P2 wave at 2955.68, completed the M1 wave at 3192.88 followed by the M2 wave at 2993.42.  Following that sequence, STI is now in the M3 wave...

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Strategic Investor 2018 Review

FTSE STI ended 2018 at 3068.76 compared with 3402.92 a year ago, representing a loss of  334.16 point or 9.82%.  It was never a good year for global stock market not just STI.  Most of the year STI was in correction mode with a high of 3641.65 in May and a low of 2955.68 in October.  The following summarized my Investment Portfolio performance for 2018 vs 2017 2018 2017 Variant Non-Strategic Unrealized Gain/Loss               +34.89%          +68.72%       -49.23% Strategic Unrealized Gain/Loss               +22.20%  ...

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Portfolio — Dec 2018

Investment Portfolio 1. Received MapletreeInd scrip dividend, increasing holding by 1.64%, reducing holding price from $0.8537 to $0.8399 Stock Holding Price* Market Price Unrealized Profit/Loss Dividend Return Non-Strategic CapitaMall Trust $1.155 $2.26 +93.26% +85.66% First REIT $0.5973 $0.985 +64.52% +114.82% Genting SP $0.5314 $0.975 +82.89% +25.40% KepCorp $7.4156 $5.91 -20.67% +43.97% SIA $12.0697 $9.42 -22.36% +35.17% SingPost $1.0093 $0.915 -9.92% +48.27% MapletreeInd Trust $0.8537 $1.91 +126.03% +72.54% Kep DC Reit $0.9174 $1.35 +49.83% +22.74% Frasers Cpt Trust $1.6314 $2.17 +31.32% +21.51% Unrealized +34.89% +63.39% Strategic Kep REIT — $1.14 114.00 cents/share 20.47 cents/unit FrasersCom Trust — $1.36 136.00 cents/share...

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STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (36)

Continued from STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (35) After 35 editions of analysis, STI still going nowhere in Elliott wave count as it can still be in corrective phase or post-correction impulsive phase.  This is mainly due to the fact that neither of the scenario has been ruled out because of Elliott wave rules violation.  Thus, when in doubts, backtrack to recount and start from basic again. For this analysis, the 36th edition, backtrack to February 2016 when STI hit a bottom of 2528.44 and that according to past analysis was the SuperCycle Wave 3...

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S&P 500 Elliott Wave Analysis (2)

Continued from S&P 500 Elliott Wave Analysis The picture for S&P 500 looks clearer now with the ongoing hammering down. S&P 500 looks on course of doing a Expanded Flat correction for wave ((4)) as shown in the chart above.  Wave ((3)) has completed in January 2018 since the start in 2016.  For rest of the year and still ongoing, it is doing a wave ((4)) correction, a Cycle degree.  This is not surprising as time frame for Cycle degree ranges from 1 to several years. Expanded Flat pattern is a 3-3-5 structure.  Wave (A) unfolded in a 3-wave...

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Stock Incubator Part 3.1 — Creative Technology Limited

On 29th Nov 2018 Creative Technology made an announcement titled “75 Million Users To Enjoy Super X-Fi Headphone Holography As Creative Partners With iVideoSmart“.  That is a piece of positive news as it signals Super X-Fi technology is being used commercially but definitely not as bombastic as “Creative Partner Smartphone Maker For Super X-Fi Solution”.  This is mainly because not many people know iVideoSmart and what products/services/solutions its offers.  iVideoSmart might have seen something in Creative’s Super X-Fi technology that could give an edge to business if not the partnership doesn’t make any business sense.  Nevertheless, this is a...

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STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (35)

Continued from STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (34) The pull back for STI after hitting 3192.88 on 3rd Dec 2018 wasn’t something unexpected.  The pull back should have some more downside to go to around the 3078 level and it does look very possible next week given STI closed 3111.12 on 7th Dec 2018.  This is because considering STI is developing into a 3rd wave extension of 3rd wave pattern as shown in the chart below. The 3rd wave is the M3 wave and its extension is the 5-wave pattern of its lower degree, the...

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STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (34)

Continued from STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (33) Previously, mentioned STI still stuck in both scenario of still in correction and doing post-correction uptrend by Elliott Wave count.  However, new development surfaced for the past 1 week. Still In Correction This is the Elliott Wave count marked in Red in the above chart.  However, due to the development of STI in the past 1 week rising above 3121.27, this has broken the pattern of the correction.  That is the M1-M4 wave in IC wave is no longer valid.  As such, the Elliott Wave count associated...

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